地产存量运营机会！对话中银证券夏亦丰：看好物业、养老和商业地产

Group 1 - The 2025 Boao Real Estate Forum was held from August 12 to 15 in Hainan, with the theme "The Power of Integration" [1] - The real estate market is still under pressure, but some cities have recently seen high premium land parcels, attributed to supply and demand dynamics [1] - On the supply side, the government is inclined to release high-value land in core locations, while on the demand side, developers are actively choosing fast-turnover, high-certainty core city land, leading to increased land price premiums [1] Group 2 - There is a total inventory of approximately 900 million square meters of new and second-hand housing across 42 key cities, with a de-stocking cycle of 26 months [1] - The inventory pressure is even greater when including lower-tier cities, with second-hand housing inventory continuously rising, exerting significant pressure on the new housing market [1] - Buyers are increasingly opting for lower-priced second-hand homes, intensifying competition for developers against both peers and second-hand home owners [1] Group 3 - Opportunities in the real estate sector's stock operation include property management, elderly care, and commercial real estate, which are seen as three promising segments [1] - These segments share common attributes of consumer characteristics, long-term sustainability, and diversity in the consumer base [1] Group 4 - Commercial real estate, particularly shopping centers, has evolved into a natural social gathering place, providing all-day consumption and leisure experiences [2] - The market size for property services is substantial, especially in residential stock, indicating a large foundational scale nationwide [2] - The elderly population aged 65 and above is increasing, and they possess considerable purchasing power, highlighting the potential in the elderly care industry [2] Group 5 - Regarding urban renewal, the industry is encouraged to look beyond traditional real estate demolition and renovation, focusing on the renovation of municipal facilities like pipelines and power grids, as well as old neighborhoods, factories, and traditional shopping centers [2]