Ge Long Hui·2025-08-15 03:54Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Entertainment's Q2 2025 financial results show strong recovery in gaming operations, driven by the concert economy, but stock performance was muted due to profit-taking and operational pressures at the StarWorld Hotel [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q2 2025 gaming gross gaming revenue (GGR) reached HKD 12 billion, up 16% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 82% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - VIP gaming revenue was HKD 2.4 billion, up 73% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 33% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Mass gaming revenue was HKD 8.8 billion, up 6% year-on-year and 7% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 130% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Slot machine revenue was HKD 800 million, up 19% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 139% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was HKD 3.6 billion, up 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 82% of Q2 2019 levels [1]. Group 2: Entertainment and Customer Traffic - In the first half of 2025, Galaxy hosted 190 entertainment, sports, and exhibition events, resulting in a 65% year-on-year increase in customer traffic [2]. - Notable events included the World Table Tennis Championships and concerts by major artists, leading to a peak daily visitor count of 123,000 [2]. - The company is advancing the upgrade of the StarWorld Hotel and the construction of Phase IV in Cotai, which will feature a theater, water park, and family-friendly facilities, expected to open in 2027 [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Valuation - The entertainment momentum is expected to continue into the second half of 2025, with various events planned that could enhance customer traffic across the Cotai area [3]. - The target price for Galaxy has been raised to HKD 49.5, reflecting a valuation premium due to its strong market position and diversified non-gaming offerings [3]. - GGR forecasts for 2025-2027 have been increased by 1.6%, 5.6%, and 2.7% to HKD 459 billion, HKD 529 billion, and HKD 568 billion respectively [3].