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赤子城科技(09911.HK):SUGO、TOPTOP强劲表现带动社交业务增长 业绩整体符合预期

Core Viewpoint - The company, ZhiZi City Technology, is expected to see significant revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance in its social business and innovative products, particularly in the AI-driven sector [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 is projected to be between RMB 31.35 billion and RMB 32.15 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.0% to 41.5% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be around RMB 4.70 billion to RMB 5.10 billion, showing a substantial increase of 108.9% to 126.7% year-on-year [1]. - Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be approximately RMB 6.30 billion to RMB 6.70 billion, reflecting a growth of about 40.6% to 49.6% [1]. Group 2: Social Business Growth - The social business is expected to generate revenue between RMB 28.00 billion and RMB 28.60 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 35.4% to 38.3% [2]. - Key contributors to this growth include strong performance from new products SUGO and TopTop, with SUGO ranking 7th in revenue among social network apps in the Middle East [2]. - The company is enhancing its market presence globally, with SUGO showing promising adaptability in new markets such as Latin America and Europe [2]. Group 3: Innovative Business Development - Innovative business is projected to achieve explosive growth, with expected revenue between RMB 3.35 billion and RMB 3.55 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 65.0% to 74.9% [3]. - The success is attributed to stable development in traffic monetization and social e-commerce, alongside the gradual revenue contribution from premium games [3]. - The company is focusing on shortening game development cycles and improving operational efficiency, which is expected to drive stronger growth in this segment [3].