AI吞噬软件！GPT-5发布后，本周欧美软件股崩了

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing significant panic selling in the software sector due to concerns that artificial intelligence (AI) will replace traditional software solutions, particularly following the release of advanced AI models like GPT-5 and Claude [1][4][10] Group 1: Market Reaction - European software stocks faced a sharp decline, with SAP's stock dropping 7.1%, resulting in a market value loss of nearly €22 billion, marking the largest single-day drop since late 2020 [1] - Other companies like Dassault Systèmes and Sage Group also saw substantial declines, with many software stocks losing double digits since mid-July [1][4] - In the U.S., Monday.com experienced a 30% drop, while Salesforce and Adobe have seen declines of over 25%-30% this year [5] Group 2: AI Impact - The rapid iteration of AI models is perceived as a direct threat to the core business models of software and data service companies, including financial data providers and data analytics platforms [4][8] - Fund managers are increasingly aware that each new generation of AI models could significantly outperform previous versions, challenging existing business logic [4] Group 3: Valuation Sensitivity - The software sector's high valuations are amplifying the impact of negative sentiment, with the average P/E ratio of STOXX600 around 17 times, while SAP's P/E ratio is close to 45 times [9] - High valuations make these companies particularly sensitive to any potential negative news [9] Group 4: Long-term Outlook - Despite the prevailing narrative that AI will consume software, some analysts believe that not all software will be replaced, especially those deeply integrated into customer workflows and possessing unique proprietary data [9][10] - Companies like Experian, which have unique data and are embedded in financial processes, are seen as having strong competitive advantages [9]