7月国内经济保持稳中有进发展态势，多重因素将支撑下半年经济

Economic Overview - In July, the national economy maintained a steady and progressive development trend, with industrial production and service sectors growing rapidly, market sales continuing to increase, and fixed asset investment expanding [1][2] - The overall employment situation remained stable, and the consumer price index year-on-year remained flat [2] Support Factors for Economic Growth - Key support factors for the domestic economy in the second half of the year include expanded market demand, the positive development of new productive forces, deepening reform and opening-up, and the sustained effectiveness of macro policies [3] - The chief economist of Minsheng Bank noted that international complexities and extreme weather conditions had short-term impacts on economic operations, with service sectors outperforming industrial sectors and external demand stronger than internal demand [3] Industrial and Manufacturing Performance - In July, the industrial added value above designated size grew by 5.7% year-on-year and 0.38% month-on-month, while the cumulative growth from January to July was 6.3% [5] - The manufacturing sector's added value increased by 6.2%, continuing to outpace the overall industrial growth, with equipment manufacturing playing a crucial role [5] - High-tech manufacturing and green products are steadily growing, driven by technological and industrial innovation [5] Consumer Market Trends - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [8] - Online retail and emerging consumption trends are developing positively, with significant growth in new consumption models such as live streaming sales [9][10] - The government’s consumption-boosting policies, including subsidies for replacing old products, have effectively stimulated demand in various consumer goods categories [10] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to July, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 288,229 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.6% [13] - Investment in high-tech industries, such as aerospace and information services, saw significant year-on-year growth rates of 33.9% and 32.8%, respectively [16] - Despite fluctuations in investment data due to extreme weather and other factors, the investment structure continues to optimize, supporting economic transformation and upgrading [15]