专家预测“十五五”GDP增速或延续区间目标

Group 1 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is crucial for China's economic and social development from 2026 to 2030, aiming to lay a solid foundation for achieving socialist modernization by 2035 [1] - The Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30 focused on long-term strategies for high-quality development during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [1] - The goal is to maintain an economic growth rate of over 4.5% to achieve the socialist modernization objectives and ensure stable employment [1] Group 2 - The target for GDP annual growth rate during the "15th Five-Year Plan" (2026-2030) is set at over 4.5% to meet the 2035 vision of doubling the economic total compared to 2020 [2] - Market expectations suggest that the average GDP growth rate should remain within a reasonable range over the next 15 years to achieve the goal of reaching the per capita GDP of a moderately developed country by 2035 [2] - The potential average GDP growth rates are projected to be 4.7% for the "15th Five-Year Plan" and 4.4% for the "16th Five-Year Plan" [2]