俄美总统面对面会晤引关注 能在乌克兰问题上达成多大共识？

Group 1 - The upcoming meeting between Russian President Putin and US President Trump on August 15 in Anchorage, Alaska, marks the first face-to-face encounter since June 2021 [1] - Key topics of discussion are expected to include the easing of US-Russia bilateral relations and the ongoing Ukraine conflict, with specific focus on ceasefire and territorial issues [3] - The US is lowering expectations for the meeting, recognizing the difficulty in achieving a comprehensive solution to the Ukraine issue, thus prioritizing the improvement of bilateral relations as a main outcome [3] Group 2 - Trump's statement indicates a 25% chance of the meeting's success, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding the potential for consensus on Ukraine [5] - The extent of consensus on Ukraine will depend on how both sides set the agenda, with Russia focusing on territorial interests and sanctions relief, while the US is more inclined to discuss specific ceasefire arrangements [7] - If both parties can find common ground in agenda setting, it may signify progress on the Ukraine issue; otherwise, a lack of compromise could lead to no common ground [8] Group 3 - The framework for consensus between the US and Russia is limited by their perceptions of the relationship between the Ukraine conflict and US-EU relations [9] - If both sides believe that resolving the Ukraine conflict is linked to improving bilateral relations, they will seek consensus; if they see them as separate, the motivation for agreement will diminish [9]