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四国背刺中国,商务部反制裁,美专家:下一个世界领导者将是中国
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-16 03:20

Core Viewpoint - China's recent countermeasures against countries perceived as adversaries have shifted the narrative, with some Western experts now predicting that China will emerge as the next global leader [1][20][29]. Group 1: Countermeasures Against Adversaries - On August 12, China's Ministry of Commerce announced an anti-dumping preliminary ruling against Canadian canola seeds, imposing a 75.8% tariff, which directly impacts Canada's agricultural sector [1][8]. - Japan faced a similar fate with a 26% to 40% anti-dumping duty on halogenated butyl rubber, a critical material for vaccine vials, causing panic among Japanese chemical companies [4][8]. - Two EU banks in Lithuania were added to China's countermeasure list, prohibiting domestic institutions from engaging in transactions with them, highlighting the repercussions of Lithuania's alignment with U.S. anti-China policies [6][8]. Group 2: Reactions from Affected Countries - The Canadian agricultural sector reacted urgently to the tariffs, while Japanese chemical firms began to express concern over their market positions [8]. - Within the EU, there are emerging doubts regarding the decisions made to align with U.S. sanctions, as these actions could adversely affect European businesses [14][18]. Group 3: Expert Predictions and Analysis - Melamed, a prominent figure in the financial sector, stated that China is poised to become the next world leader, citing its rapid development and innovation capabilities [20][23]. - Historical patterns indicate that shifts in global power dynamics are often driven by changes in production capabilities, with China's manufacturing output now surpassing that of the U.S., Japan, and Germany combined [27][39]. - The combination of China's large population, robust education system, and strategic economic policies positions it favorably for future leadership [29][31]. Group 4: Strategic Insights - China's response to U.S. chip tracking and allied nations' actions has been characterized by a measured approach, utilizing WTO rules for trade remedies rather than emotional reactions [31][39]. - The decision to open rare earth exports to the U.S. under strict conditions reflects a sophisticated strategy that balances cooperation with assertiveness [35][39]. - The ongoing discussions about de-dollarization among various nations indicate a growing recognition of China's economic influence and the potential for a shift away from U.S. dollar dominance [37][39].