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江苏金租(600901):资产规模稳步增长 利差、资产质量保持稳健

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue increase of 15% year-on-year to 30.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a pre-provision profit growth of 14% to 26.7 billion yuan, and a net profit increase of 9% to 15.6 billion yuan, aligning with expectations [1] Financial Performance - For 2Q25, the company achieved a revenue of 14.6 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase but a 5% quarter-on-quarter decline, while net profit was 7.9 billion yuan, up 10% year-on-year and 3% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The annualized ROAE decreased by 2.9 percentage points to 13.0% due to the impact of convertible bond conversions [1] Growth Trends - As of 1H25, the company's receivables from financing leases increased by 16% year-on-year to 1,481 billion yuan, with steady progress in asset deployment [2] - Key sectors such as clean energy, transportation, and industrial equipment saw lease balances grow by 19%, 19%, and 11% respectively, while the modern services sector experienced a 41% increase [2] - The company has established partnerships with nearly 6,000 manufacturers and dealers, enhancing its customer acquisition network [2] Cost and Profitability - The annualized net interest margin improved by 0.03 percentage points to 3.71%, while the net interest spread narrowed compared to 1Q25 [3] - The asset yield for financing leases decreased by 0.38 percentage points to 6.24%, attributed to increased liquidity and competition [3] - Financing costs dropped by 0.67 percentage points to 2.25%, indicating a positive trend in cost management [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a continued decline in financing costs due to loose monetary policy, supporting margin expansion [4] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.91%, with a provision coverage ratio of 401.5%, reflecting prudent risk management [4] - Credit impairment losses increased by 37% to 580 million yuan, impacting net profit growth, but the company maintains a strong asset quality [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast remains unchanged, with the company currently trading at 1.3x and 1.2x P/B for 2025 and 2026 respectively [5] - The target price has been raised by 10.3% to 6.4 yuan, maintaining an outperform rating with a potential upside of 9.6% [5]