此次异常低调的对华谈判，为何成关税战的真正拐点？

Core Points - The article discusses the recent U.S.-China trade negotiations and the implications of various trade agreements made by the Trump administration, highlighting the fragility and questionable authenticity of these agreements [1][4][19] Group 1: Trade Agreements and Commitments - The U.S. and China have agreed to pause the implementation of 24% tariffs for 90 days, marking a continuation of trade negotiations [1] - Various countries have made significant purchasing commitments, such as the EU agreeing to buy $750 billion worth of U.S. oil and gas, but the feasibility of these commitments is widely questioned [8][9] - Vietnam has committed to purchasing $2 billion in U.S. agricultural products, yet this pales in comparison to a 49% drop in U.S. agricultural exports to China [10] Group 2: Economic Impact and Criticism - The Trump administration's trade policies have led to the highest tariffs in nearly a century, costing American households an average of $2,400 annually [6] - Job losses in the manufacturing sector have been significant, with 37,000 jobs lost since the announcement of tariffs [6] - The article argues that the trade agreements have not resulted in the promised economic benefits and have instead harmed the U.S. economy and its global standing [4][5] Group 3: Uncertainty and Lack of Clarity - There is a lack of clarity regarding the specifics of the trade agreements, with no official texts released, leading to uncertainty among businesses and investors [7] - Many of the purchasing commitments lack legal enforceability, raising doubts about their actual implementation [10][13] - The Trump administration's new tariffs on indirect imports could further complicate trade relationships and increase costs for countries reliant on Chinese components [15] Group 4: Shifts in Global Trade Dynamics - Traditional allies are seeking to reduce their dependence on the U.S., with countries like the EU, Japan, and South Korea looking to strengthen ties with China [18] - The article suggests that the Trump administration's approach may lead to the emergence of a "anti-U.S. alliance" in global trade [2][19] - The potential for a new global trade framework that does not prioritize U.S. interests is highlighted as a significant outcome of current trade negotiations [19]