长三角半年瞰：江苏社零规模全国第一，上海整体回暖、餐饮收缩

Economic Performance Summary - Jiangsu's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 2.39 trillion yuan, making it the only region to surpass 2 trillion yuan, ranking first nationwide [1][2] - The retail sales growth rates for Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui were all above 5%, with Zhejiang at 189.79 billion yuan (5.3% growth), Anhui at 120.51 billion yuan (5.5% growth), and Jiangsu at 239.49 billion yuan (5% growth) [1][2] - Shanghai's retail sales totaled 826.04 billion yuan, showing a 1.7% year-on-year increase, indicating a recovery from negative growth in the first quarter [1][5] Consumption Policies and Effects - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to significantly support consumption, with a planned allocation of 150 billion yuan in special long-term bonds for 2024, increasing to 300 billion yuan in 2025 [3] - In Shanghai, the "old-for-new" policy has led to a direct increase in social consumption by over 54 billion yuan [3] - Anhui's implementation of the "old-for-new" policy included 8 billion yuan in subsidies and 620 million yuan in consumer vouchers, resulting in a 11.2% increase in retail sales for related goods [4] Regional Consumption Trends - Shanghai's restaurant income decreased by 2.6% to 99.14 billion yuan, while Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui all saw restaurant income growth exceeding 5% [6][9] - The "Su Super" sports events in Jiangsu generated 37.96 billion yuan in service revenue, marking a 42.7% increase, with significant contributions from tourism and dining [10] - Jiangsu's retail sales increased by 5.8%, with notable growth in the railway and aviation sectors, achieving revenue growth of 90.7% and 46.5%, respectively [11]