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联想集团(00992.HK):NON-HKFRS利润稳健成长 AI全面赋能主业
Ge Long Hui·2025-08-16 19:36

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group reported strong financial performance for 1QFY26, with revenue reaching $18.83 billion, a 22% year-on-year increase, marking a record high for the first quarter [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for 1QFY26 was $18.83 billion, up 22% year-on-year, with significant growth across regions: China (+36%), Asia Pacific (+39%), Americas (+14%), and EMEA (+9%) [1] - Non-HKFRS net profit was $389 million, a 22% increase year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was $505 million, up 108% [1] - The increase in net profit was partly due to a non-cash fair value gain of $152 million related to warrants and nominal interest of $27.82 million from convertible bonds [1] Business Trends - The PC business showed strong growth, with IDG revenue increasing by 17.8% to $13.46 billion, and personal PC revenue growing by 21.9%, the fastest growth in 15 quarters [1] - Lenovo's global PC shipment growth of 15.2% outpaced the industry average of 6.5%, leading to a market share of 24.6% [1] - AI PC shipments accounted for over 30% of total PC shipments in 2Q25, with a 27% share in the Chinese market, highlighting Lenovo's leadership in the AI PC sector [1] - The "Tianxi" personal super intelligent system has seen increased user engagement, with a weekly active user ratio averaging 40% by the end of 2Q25 [1] AI Infrastructure - ISG revenue reached $4.29 billion, a 36% year-on-year increase, despite an operating loss of $86 million due to lower margins from AI server sales and increased R&D investments [2] - AI infrastructure revenue grew by 155% year-on-year, driven by strong demand for AI computing power [2] - In China, ISG revenue increased by 76%, with improved profitability and a 3 percentage point rise in operating profit margin [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has cautiously raised FY2026/27 non-HKFRS net profit estimates by 2.3% and 2.8% to $1.687 billion and $1.968 billion, respectively [2] - Current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 10.3x for FY2026 and 8.8x for FY2027, with a target price of HKD 13.40, indicating a 24% upside potential [2]