Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-08-17 07:28Group 1: Economic Events - The Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Conference will be held from August 21 to 23, with expectations that Powell will not reveal the September interest rate decision but will focus on the Fed's monetary policy framework assessment [5][9] - The market anticipates a 62.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with a 22.5% chance of a 50 basis point cut, influenced by recent economic data showing a moderate rise in CPI and a cooling job market [5][12] - The Eurozone's August manufacturing PMI preliminary value is reported at 49.8, indicating a potential recovery in manufacturing activity [2][16] Group 2: Company Earnings Reports - Xiaomi Group is expected to report Q2 earnings on August 19, with revenue projected to grow approximately 32% year-on-year, reaching around 117 billion yuan, and net profit expected to increase over 66% [17][18] - Baidu's Q2 revenue is forecasted to be between 32.693 billion and 34.521 billion yuan, with net profit expected to decline by 25.1% to 45.1% year-on-year [19][20] - Pop Mart anticipates a revenue increase of no less than 200% for the first half of 2025, with net profit expected to grow by at least 350% [21] - Midea Group is projected to achieve Q2 revenue between 135 billion and 140 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15% to 20% [22][23] - Walmart's upcoming Q2 earnings report is expected to reinforce its bullish investment thesis, showcasing strong fundamentals despite economic headwinds [24]