期货开盘：碳酸锂涨超3%，多晶硅、棕榈油、工业硅、焦煤涨超2%，SC原油跌超1%，甲醇、鸡蛋跌近1%

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates a mixed performance in the U.S. CPI and PPI data, leading to a reduction in market expectations for the extent of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September, while still maintaining some support for potential cuts in the future [4] - The U.S. July CPI increased by 2.7% year-on-year, which is below the market expectation of 2.8% and consistent with the previous month, while the core CPI rose by 3.1%, exceeding the expected 3.0% and marking the highest level since February [4] - The July PPI showed a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, the highest level since February, significantly surpassing the expected 2.5% and the previous value of 2.3%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.9%, the largest since June 2022 [4] Group 2 - The latest CME "FedWatch" data indicates a 15.4% probability of maintaining interest rates in September, an 84.6% probability of a 25 basis point cut, and a 6% probability of maintaining rates in October, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut probability of 42.4% and a 50 basis point cut probability of 51.5% [2] - In the domestic market, major contracts showed mixed performance, with lithium carbonate rising over 3% and polysilicon, palm oil, and industrial silicon increasing over 2%, while SC and eggs fell by over 1% [3]