Smartgiant(SH:688115) Tai Mei Ti A P P·2025-08-18 01:51Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of 71% stake in military enterprise Qingdao Kekai Electronics by Silin Jie (688115.SH) has faced significant regulatory scrutiny and market skepticism, highlighting challenges in business synergy, compliance, and the feasibility of the deal amidst a declining industry environment [2][4][9]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The total transaction value for the acquisition is 1.42 billion yuan, with cash payment of 857 million yuan and stock payment of 563 million yuan [3]. - The share issuance price is set at 16.74 yuan per share, significantly lower than the current market price of approximately 71 yuan, indicating a potential substantial profit for the sellers [3]. Group 2: Business Synergy Concerns - The initial claim of business synergy based on both companies being in the "electronic industry" has shifted to a justification of being "upstream and downstream" partners, raising questions about the validity of this classification [4][5]. - Silin Jie primarily operates in industrial automation and is heavily reliant on the Apple supply chain, while Kekai Electronics focuses on military applications, creating a fundamental conflict in customer bases and operational compatibility [5][6]. Group 3: Compliance and Innovation Concerns - Kekai Electronics' innovation credentials are under scrutiny, as its R&D investment from 2021 to 2023 totaled 39.04 million yuan, barely meeting the minimum requirement of 5% of revenue [7][8]. - The data supporting Kekai's R&D claims has been flagged for inaccuracies by regulatory bodies, casting doubt on the integrity of the information used to justify the acquisition [8]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Industry Outlook - Kekai Electronics has committed to achieving a net profit of 90 million yuan in 2025, amidst a projected revenue drop of 46.4% in 2024 compared to 2023, raising concerns about the feasibility of these targets [9][10]. - The broader military industry is experiencing a downturn, with many comparable companies also reporting revenue and profit declines, indicating systemic challenges that could impact Kekai's performance [10].