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中国乘用车量价趋势与营销策略研究报告2025
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-18 02:18

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the Chinese passenger car market is undergoing a transformation characterized by "new scenarios," "new users," "new dynamics," and "new products" [7][8] - In 2024, the total sales volume of passenger cars is projected to reach 27.563 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.8%. For the first half of 2025, sales are expected to be 15.653 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 11.4%, marking a historical high [7][8] - The market structure is shifting, with the fuel vehicle market transitioning to "zero-sum competition" and the new energy vehicle market focusing on "incremental market share competition," leading to ongoing price wars [7][8] Group 2 - The fuel vehicle market is experiencing a decline in sales, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% in the first half of 2025. The average terminal discount has increased from 14.53% in 2023 to 27.77% in the first half of 2025, while the average transaction price has dropped from 196,400 RMB to 171,600 RMB [16][20] - Approximately 62.3% of fuel vehicle models are experiencing a "double loss" in both volume and price, with luxury brands facing the most severe impact, where 62.6% of their models are in this situation [20][25] - The report highlights that the price elasticity in first-tier cities is particularly ineffective, while the "price-for-volume" strategy is relatively effective in lower-tier cities [28] Group 3 - The new energy vehicle market is rapidly developing, with production and sales in the first half of 2025 growing by 41.4% and 40.3%, respectively, achieving a penetration rate of 44.3% [2][40] - The average terminal discount for new energy vehicles has expanded from 4.65% in 2023 to 11.12% in the first half of 2025, indicating a competitive landscape focused on "incremental market share competition" [40][44] - Approximately 40.76% of new energy vehicle models have achieved "price-for-volume" success, while 46.92% are facing "double loss" in volume and price [44][50] Group 4 - The report proposes the "PROMOTE" marketing methodology to help car companies develop precise strategies throughout the product launch cycle, addressing challenges such as product updates and short lifecycle [8][12] - The analysis indicates that traditional fuel vehicle companies face dual challenges from the rapid development of the new energy market and the rise of domestic brands [32][36] - The competitive landscape shows that luxury brands maintain a stronghold in the high-end market, while joint venture brands are under pressure from domestic brands in the mid-range market [36][40]