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Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-18 04:07

Market Overview - The machinery, power equipment, and automotive industry indices experienced fluctuations, with respective changes of 3.21%, 5.84%, and 3.08% during the week of August 11-15, ranking 8th, 4th, and 9th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [1] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index had a change of 2.37% during the same period [1] Industry Insights - In July, 10 out of 12 major engineering machinery products in China saw year-on-year sales growth, with excavators showing a recovery after a slight decline in May, achieving growth rates of +6.2% and +17.2% in June and July respectively [1] - The sales growth of automotive cranes turned positive in July at +6.8% [1] - The two product categories that continued to decline in sales were tower cranes and aerial work platforms, with year-on-year growth rates of -42.5% and -51.4% respectively, significantly impacted by the real estate sector [1] - The domestic demand for engineering machinery is expected to continue its upward trend due to the increasing replacement cycle of existing machinery and support from special bonds and infrastructure projects, suggesting a focus on leading manufacturers with high earnings certainty [1] Automotive Sector - From August 1-10, the national retail sales of passenger cars decreased by 4% year-on-year, totaling 452,000 units, while retail sales of new energy vehicles increased by 6% year-on-year, reaching 262,000 units [2] - The domestic automotive market is anticipated to maintain rapid growth, supported by trade-in promotions and strong export growth, with a recommendation to focus on manufacturers with brand and scale advantages [2] Photovoltaic Sector - The main material prices in the photovoltaic sector remained stable, with no significant changes in overall quotations and transaction prices [3] - Demand for components is showing signs of weakness, with TOPCon component spot orders being signed at levels between 0.65-0.7 RMB, but subsequent order prices have begun to decline [3] - The photovoltaic sector saw a slight recovery due to notifications for a meeting organized by relevant departments on August 19, indicating the need to monitor upcoming industry meetings closely [3] - The current photovoltaic market dynamics are driven by "anti-involution" policies, with uncertainties regarding the industry's turning point if policies do not materialize and prices fail to be transmitted downstream [3]