四川盛世钢联 | 2025年8月16日成都螺纹钢周评今日报价

Market Overview - The Chengdu rebar market showed a stable trend with slight fluctuations during the week of August 11-16, 2025, maintaining a cautious market sentiment [1] - The overall price volatility narrowed, influenced by weak seasonal demand and limited transaction performance [1] Price Trend Analysis - The rebar price in Chengdu experienced a slight decline this week, with the price range narrowing from 3230-3250 CNY/ton last week to 3230-3240 CNY/ton this week, reflecting an overall decrease of approximately 0.5% [4] - Daily price movements included a stable price of 3230 CNY/ton on August 11, a slight increase to 3250 CNY/ton on August 12-13, followed by a price adjustment back to 3230-3240 CNY/ton by August 14-15 [5] Transaction and Inventory Situation - Daily average transaction volume decreased by about 10% compared to last week, indicating a persistent seasonal effect with limited speculative demand [6] - Rebar inventory in Chengdu increased by approximately 3% week-on-week, attributed to slow demand release and stable resource delivery from steel mills [6] Cost and Profit Analysis - Production costs for rebar slightly increased due to rising iron ore prices, while coke prices remained stable, leading to a narrowing profit margin for some steel mills [6] - Traders maintained a profit range of 30-50 CNY/ton, with some optimizing inventory structure and reducing capital costs to sustain operational resilience [7] Influencing Factors - The futures market showed a volatile trend, with intensified market speculation impacting the sentiment in the spot market [8] - Seasonal demand weakness was evident, with adverse weather conditions affecting construction progress and slower-than-expected demand release from real estate and infrastructure projects [8] - Local and surrounding steel mills maintained high capacity utilization rates, with limited impact from recent environmental production restrictions [9] Market Outlook and Recommendations - Short-term price predictions suggest that Chengdu rebar prices may continue to fluctuate within a range of 3200-3250 CNY/ton, influenced by futures market trends, demand changes, and policy developments [10] - Companies are advised to maintain a demand-driven procurement strategy and avoid excessive stockpiling while monitoring price differences between futures and spot markets [10]