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沪指盘中创近十年新高!成交量创年内新高!市场情绪大幅走高 机构上看至4000点
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao·2025-08-18 12:36

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant recovery, with major indices reaching new highs, indicating a potential "slow bull" market trend supported by improving fundamentals and investor confidence [1][2][4]. Market Performance - On August 18, the Shanghai Composite Index peaked at 3745.84 points, marking a nearly ten-year high, and closed at 3728.03 points, up 0.85%. The Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.73% to 11835.57 points, while the ChiNext Index increased by 2.84% to 2606.2 points [1]. - The total trading volume across the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 28096 billion yuan, setting a new annual record [1]. Fundamental and Financial Improvements - The market is witnessing a recovery in both economic fundamentals and corporate earnings, with July export growth exceeding expectations and corporate profit growth on the rise [2]. - There is a steady inflow of medium to long-term funds and leverage capital into the A-share market, with margin trading balances increasing [2][3]. - The macro liquidity remains relatively loose, and there is a notable shift of household savings from the real estate market to the capital market [2]. Policy Support - Government policies are actively supporting economic recovery and the capital market, with recent meetings emphasizing the stability of the real estate and stock markets [3][4]. - The central government's focus on enhancing the attractiveness and inclusivity of the capital market has significantly boosted investor confidence [3]. Growth Sectors - The technology sector, particularly AI and autonomous technology, is experiencing robust performance, supported by global capital flows towards emerging markets [3][4]. - Financial sectors, including banks and brokerages, are attracting investments due to their low valuations and high dividends, while consumer brands are expected to see valuation recovery in the third quarter [5][7]. Long-term Outlook - The market is anticipated to transition from a localized bull market to a more comprehensive bull market, with the potential for sustained growth over the next two to three years [5][6]. - Investors are encouraged to adopt a value investment approach, focusing on quality stocks or funds, while being cautious of market volatility [6][5].