民生证券：给予华锡有色买入评级

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Huaxi Nonferrous (600301) has shown significant performance growth driven by the resonance of tin and antimony, with promising potential for future resource expansion [1][6]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.787 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.66%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 382 million yuan, up 9.49% year-on-year [2]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.543 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.95% and a year-on-year increase of 26.64%, with a net profit of 228 million yuan, up 48.87% quarter-on-quarter and 7.83% year-on-year [2]. Production Volume - In H1 2025, the company produced approximately 3,273.80 tons of tin concentrate, down 6.18% year-on-year, while sales increased by 41.02% to about 124.34 tons [3]. - Tin ingot production was approximately 6,147.02 tons, up 19.30% year-on-year, with sales of about 5,781.59 tons, an increase of 7.39% [3]. - Zinc concentrate production was about 27,100 tons, down 1.17% year-on-year, with sales of 11,000 tons, down 4.67% [3]. Pricing and Margins - The average price for tin, antimony, zinc, lead, and copper in H1 2025 was 262,100 yuan/ton, 189,000 yuan/ton, 23,100 yuan/ton, 17,000 yuan/ton, and 77,600 yuan/ton, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +2,120 yuan, +8,310 yuan, +90 yuan, -10 yuan, and +270 yuan [4]. - The company's overall gross margin was 36.36%, a decrease of 2.56 percentage points year-on-year, with specific product margins showing varied performance [4]. Resource Expansion Potential - The company has made progress in resource layout, with significant increases in mineral reserves, including a 93.59% increase in lead-zinc resources at the Fozichong mining area [5]. - As of H1 2025, the company holds a total mineral resource of 89.591 million tons, with metal resources including tin, antimony, indium, zinc, lead, silver, and copper totaling 4.4925 million tons [5]. Investment Recommendations - The company is positioned as a leader in tin and antimony, with rich mineral resource reserves and ongoing exploration projects that suggest further resource expansion [6]. - Future net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 984 million yuan, 1.139 billion yuan, and 1.323 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 17, 14, and 12 times based on the closing price on August 18, 2025 [6].