Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for PDD Holdings Inc. despite an increase in revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $1.91 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 40.3% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $14.35 billion, which is a 7.5% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.78% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][12]. - The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -4.19% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [7][9]. - A combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a strong Zacks Rank significantly increases the chances of an earnings surprise, with a success rate of nearly 70% [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, PDD Holdings was expected to earn $2.49 per share but only achieved $1.56, resulting in a surprise of -37.35% [14]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [15]. Conclusion - PDD Holdings Inc. does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and revisions, suggesting caution for investors ahead of the earnings release [18].
Earnings Preview: PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline