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机构:随着焦点转向经济萎缩,新西兰联储料将恢复降息
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-18 19:50

Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to lower interest rates this week, initiating a new easing cycle after signs of economic stagnation in July [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Changes - 22 out of 23 economists surveyed predict a 25 basis point reduction in the official cash rate to 3% [1] - If the rate is lowered, it will mark the lowest benchmark rate in three years [1] Group 2: Economic Context - The Reserve Bank maintained the interest rate last month to assess rising inflation but is now shifting focus to weak economic growth [1] - ASB Bank analyst Wesley Tanuvasa anticipates that the official cash rate may remain at supportive levels for some time to stimulate the New Zealand economy [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Each interest rate decision before the end of the year could have significant implications, with an increasing likelihood of rates dropping below 3% by year-end [1]