STL(SZ:002648) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-19 00:32Core Insights - Satellite Chemical reported a total revenue of 23.46 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.93% [1] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.744 billion yuan, up 33.44% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of approximately 2.896 billion yuan, reflecting a 29.61% increase [1] - In Q2 alone, the company generated a revenue of 11.131 billion yuan, a 5.05% increase year-on-year but a 9.72% decrease quarter-on-quarter [1] Financial Performance - The second quarter's net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 1.175 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.72% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 25.07% [1] - The non-recurring net profit for Q2 was about 1.204 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.77% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 28.85% [1] Market Dynamics - The C2 segment faced pressure on price spreads, with a decline in the ethylene-ethane price spread and further price drops in core downstream products like styrene and polystyrene affecting performance [1] - As of August 16, the ethylene-ethane price spread has been gradually strengthening, while prices for styrene and polystyrene continue to weaken [1] - The C3 segment saw weakened price spreads for propane, acrylic acid, and acrylonitrile, although the price spread for methyl acrylate strengthened, and the SAP price spread remained stable [1] Future Outlook - The weakening price of ethane, driven by ample supply in the U.S., is expected to support the recovery of profitability in the C2 chain [2] - The company plans to invest 3 billion yuan in high-performance catalyst new material projects, aiming to establish an integrated R&D platform for high-performance catalysts and high-end new materials [2] - The closure of six ethylene cracking facilities in Europe since April 2024 is projected to reduce European ethylene capacity by approximately 4.3 million tons per year, which may enhance the company's cost advantages in light hydrocarbon cracking [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to weakened product prices affecting price spreads, the company's profit expectations for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards [3] - Projected net profits for the next three years are 6.249 billion, 7.684 billion, and 9.881 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 1.86, 2.28, and 2.93 yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 10.22X, 8.31X, and 6.46X for the respective years, maintaining a "strong buy" investment rating [3]