证券之星消息，1月14日化学原料板块较上一交易日上涨2.58%，君正集团领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4126.09，下跌0.31%。深证成指报收于14248.6，上涨0.56%。化学原料板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601216 | 君正集团 | 5.67 | 10.10% | 594.30万 | | 33.17 乙 | | 600989 | 宝丰能源 | 20.74 | 6.96% | 116.13万 | | 23.77亿 | | 600714 | 美瑞A,不 | 14.12 | 6.65% | 48.26万 | | 6.83亿 | | 300927 | 江天化学 | 26.10 | 5.45% | 9.51万 | | 2.43亿 | | 000691 | *ST亚太 | 10.42 | 5.04% | 1.12万 | | 1168.19万 | | 600367 | 红星发展 | 19.90 | 5.01% | 68.35万 | | 13. ...

证券研究报告 卫星化学及烯烃行业周度动态跟踪 华安化工团队 分析师：王强峰 S0010522110002 分析师：潘宁馨 S0010524070002 2026年01月14日 华安证券研究所 华安证券研究所 华安研究•拓展投资价值 1 证券研究报告 华安研究•拓展投资价值 ◼ 本周观点 华安证券研究所 敬请参阅末页重要声明及评级说明 2 ➢ 本周乙烷价格继续走弱，截至1月9日为1277元/吨，周环比-3.10%。 ➢ 本周原料天然气价格大幅回落，周环比-29.02%；乙烷价格继续下行，周环比-3.10%；乙烯、液氯价格维持稳定，周环比 均为0.00%；丙烷价格小幅上涨，周环比+0.58%；布伦特原油价格小幅回落，周环比-0.34%。 ➢ C2/C3下游主要产品聚乙烯/环氧乙烷/聚酯大单体/乙二醇/苯乙烯/丙烯酸历史分位分别为+37.75%/+23.52%/+27.24%/+30. 09%/+45.96%/+24.72%，整体处于中低分位区间。 ➢ 在当前节点展望后市，我们判断乙烷价格虽有所波动，但供需宽松，整体价格将继续下行。此外，我们认为下游需求端在 今年仍有修复空间。 ➢ 我们持续推荐轻烃化工龙头企业卫星 ...

有潤有化 2026 年 01 月 12 日 证券分析师 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com ter 122 相关研究 研究支持 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 联系人 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 闹克+继续暂停增产 該撑明确 石油化工行业周报(2026/1/5—2026/1/11) 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 to mie mixi C 风险提示：地缘政治影响；石油及化工品价格波动；经济下行风险。 行业点评 本周观点及推荐 1. 1.1 本周思考：欧佩克+继续暂停增产，短期原油供应端支 檔明确 欧佩克+继续暂停增产。欧佩克+自愿减产八国（沙特、俄罗斯、伊拉克、阿联酋、科 威特、哈萨克斯坦、阿尔及利亚、阿曼）于 2026 年 1 月 4 日召开会议，重申 2025 年 11 月决议：因季节性需求疲软，暂停 2026 ...

行 业 及 产 业 石油石化 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 联系人 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 2026 年 01 月 12 日 欧佩克+继续暂停增产，短期原油 供应端支撑明确 看好 ——石油化工行业周报(2026/1/5—2026/1/11) 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 评 - ⚫ 欧佩克+继续暂停增产，短期原油供应端支撑明确。欧佩克+自愿减产八国 1 月会议显 示，因季节性需求疲软，原定 165 万桶/日增产计划将继续暂停；会议同时强调对 2024 年以来超产部分"完全补偿"。欧佩克 1 月 7 日发布的最新补偿计划预计将使 26Q1 实际原 油产量显著低于名义配 ...

Group 1 - Satellite Chemical's stock price decreased by 1.59% on January 9, with a trading volume of 9.56 billion yuan. The financing buy amount was 1.17 billion yuan, while the financing repayment was 1.09 billion yuan, resulting in a net financing purchase of 823.78 million yuan. The total financing and securities lending balance reached 15.65 billion yuan as of January 9 [1] - The financing balance of Satellite Chemical was 15.61 billion yuan, accounting for 2.50% of the circulating market value, which is above the 60th percentile level over the past year, indicating a high position [1] - In terms of securities lending, 7,500 shares were repaid and 6,000 shares were sold on January 9, with a selling amount of 111,100 yuan. The remaining securities lending volume was 251,900 shares, with a balance of 4.67 million yuan, also above the 70th percentile level over the past year, indicating a high position [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, the number of shareholders of Satellite Chemical was 89,400, a decrease of 4.05% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 4.22% to 37,663 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Satellite Chemical achieved an operating income of 34.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.73%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 3.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.69% [2] - Since its A-share listing, Satellite Chemical has distributed a total of 5.73 billion yuan in dividends, with 3.03 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders included Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the third-largest shareholder with 234 million shares, an increase of 83.81 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and Penghua CSI Subdivision Chemical Industry Theme ETF [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [70]. Core Insights - The average prices for pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI are reported at 18,043, 14,171, and 14,478 CNY/ton respectively, with TDI showing a week-on-week increase of 59 CNY/ton [2]. - The average prices for ethane, propane, and coal are 1,165, 4,172, and 520 CNY/ton respectively, with ethane decreasing by 85 CNY/ton and propane increasing by 45 CNY/ton [2]. - The average prices for synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid are 2,213, 1,724, 3,787, and 2,546 CNY/ton respectively, with synthetic ammonia decreasing by 34 CNY/ton and urea increasing by 12 CNY/ton [2]. - The average prices for animal nutrition products such as VA and VE are 62.5 and 54.9 CNY/kg respectively, with no significant changes [2]. Summary by Sections Polyurethane Sector - The average prices for pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI are 18,043, 14,171, and 14,478 CNY/ton respectively, with TDI showing a week-on-week increase of 59 CNY/ton [2][16][20]. Oil, Coal, and Olefins Sector - Ethane and propane average prices are 1,165 and 4,172 CNY/ton respectively, with ethane decreasing by 85 CNY/ton and propane increasing by 45 CNY/ton [2][24][31]. - The average price for polyethylene is 6,800 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 30 CNY/ton [2]. Coal Chemical Sector - The average prices for synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid are 2,213, 1,724, 3,787, and 2,546 CNY/ton respectively, with synthetic ammonia decreasing by 34 CNY/ton and urea increasing by 12 CNY/ton [2][40][48][49]. Animal Nutrition Sector - The average prices for VA, VE, solid egg amino acid, and liquid egg amino acid are 62.5, 54.9, 17.6, and 14.2 CNY/kg respectively, with no significant changes [2][56][62].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Insights - The chemical industry is expected to experience an upward cycle due to the implementation of "anti-involution" policies in China and the accelerated exit of some European facilities [29] - The report highlights the potential for domestic substitution of semiconductor materials from Japan due to rising geopolitical tensions, which could benefit various companies in the sector [5] - The chromium salt industry is undergoing a value reassessment driven by increased demand from AI data centers and commercial aircraft engines, with a projected supply-demand gap of 340,900 tons by 2028 [8] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The chemical industry has shown strong relative performance with a 1-month increase of 10.7%, 3-month increase of 9.6%, and a 12-month increase of 45.1%, outperforming the CSI 300 index [3] Price Trends - Key products such as lithium carbonate and polysilicon have seen significant price increases, supported by policy guidance and industry self-discipline [12] - The price of chromium salts has remained stable, with metal chromium priced at 82,000 CNY/ton as of January 9, 2026 [15] Investment Opportunities - Focus on companies with low-cost expansion capabilities, such as Wanhu Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng, as well as those in sectors with improving market conditions like chromium salts and phosphates [6][9] - High dividend yield opportunities are identified in state-owned enterprises like China Petroleum and China National Chemical [10] Key Company Tracking - Companies such as Dongfang Shenghong and Huabei Yihua are highlighted for their earnings potential, with projected EPS growth for 2026 [30] - The report tracks specific price movements for various chemicals, including a notable increase in the price of ammonium phosphate and a stable price for urea [17][19]

POE胶膜概念资金流出榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600989 | 宝丰能源 | -2.03 | 1.02 | -18594.47 | | 603806 | 福斯特 | -1.40 | 1.24 | -8965.14 | | 301687 | 新广益 | -4.06 | 38.10 | -6296.64 | | 002648 | 卫星化学 | -1.59 | 1.53 | -6171.27 | | 002493 | 荣盛石化 | -0.77 | 0.65 | -4943.34 | | 002218 | 拓日新能 | -0.85 | 10.35 | -3173.75 | | 003022 | 联泓新科 | -0.34 | 0.89 | -1443.72 | | 605566 | 福莱蒽特 | -2.41 | 2.03 | -1177.64 | | 688560 | 明冠新材 | -1.81 | 3.58 | -1002.51 | | 000301 | 东方盛虹 | -1.02 ...

2025年9月七部委联合发布《石化化工行业稳增长工作方案(2025-2026年)》，我国炼油行业产能整体过 剩，老旧装置产能庞大，老旧装置以主营炼厂居多，《方案》指出石化领域严格执行新建炼油项目产能 减量置换要求，严控新增炼油产能，科学调控乙烯、对二甲苯新增产能投放节奏，叠加"反内卷"政策信 号明确的推动，预计炼油炼化行业供给侧将得到有力优化。此外，全球外部环境急剧变化，同时俄乌、 美伊以及美国"对等关税"政策均存在较大不确定性，但考虑到OPEC+较高的财政平衡油价成本，以及 美国页岩油较高的新井成本，预计2026年布伦特油价中枢在55-65美元/桶，2026年WTI油价中枢在52-62 美元/桶。相关标的： 重点推荐【中国海油（600938）】、【中国石油（601857）】、【卫星化学（002648）】、【海油发展 （600968）】 风险提示： 2025年12月布伦特原油期货均价为61.6美元/桶，环比下跌2.0美元/桶，月末收于60.9美元/桶；WTI原油 期货均价57.9美元/桶，环比下跌1.6美元/桶，月末收于57.4美元/桶。12月上旬，俄罗斯友谊输油管道遭 袭击，俄乌和平计划陷入僵局，加之美联储 ...

12月油价回顾： 来源：中国能源网 国信证券近日发布油气行业2025年12月月报：2025年12月布伦特原油期货均价为61.6美元/桶，环比下 跌2.0美元/桶，月末收于60.9美元/桶；WTI原油期货均价57.9美元/桶，环比下跌1.6美元/桶，月末收于 57.4美元/桶。OPEC+在2025年4月-9月将220万桶/日自愿减产完全退出，并在2025年9月7日OPEC+部长 级会议决定在12个月内提前解除2023年4月达成的166万桶/日自愿减产协议，2025年10月-12月分别增产 13.7万桶/日，但11月30日的OPEC+会议中，由于季节性原因，OPEC+决定暂停2026年第一季度的增产 计划。 以下为研究报告摘要： 核心观点 重点推荐【中国海油】、【中国石油】、【卫星化学】、【海油发展】 风险提示： 原材料价格波动；产品价格波动；下游需求不及预期等。(国信证券杨林,薛聪,董丙旭) 2025年12月布伦特原油期货均价为61.6美元/桶，环比下跌2.0美元/桶，月末收于60.9美元/桶；WTI原油 期货均价57.9美元/桶，环比下跌1.6美元/桶，月末收于57.4美元/桶。12月上旬，俄罗斯友谊输油管道 ...