管涛：人民币存在升穿7元的可能性

Core Viewpoint - The possibility of the Chinese yuan appreciating further against the US dollar, potentially breaking the 7 yuan mark, is highlighted by the Chief Economist of China Bank Securities, Guan Tao [1] Group 1: Factors Influencing Yuan Appreciation - A weak US economy, potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and a general decline in market confidence towards the US dollar are key factors that could drive the yuan's appreciation [1] - The potential for a second-phase trade agreement between China and the US, similar to the one during Trump's first term, could also enhance market confidence and support yuan appreciation [1] Group 2: Refutation of Currency Manipulation Claims - Guan Tao refutes claims that China is deliberately devaluing its currency to boost exports, stating that the trend of the yuan's multilateral exchange rate is a result rather than a goal [1]