牛市主线，创新药还当得起吗？创新药ETF沪港深（159622）倒车接人

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the innovative drug ETF (159622) is seen as a short-term correction, with expectations of continued growth driven by liquidity and upcoming catalysts such as potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - The innovative drug ETF experienced a decline of over 1.5%, with significant stock performance divergence among its components, including gains from companies like Ganli Pharmaceutical (+7%) and Enhua Pharmaceutical (+5%) [1] - The overall market sentiment remains bullish, with a strong rotation and inflow of capital into innovative drug ETFs during corrections [1] Group 2: Catalysts for Growth - The innovative drug sector is expected to benefit from a liquidity-driven market, particularly with anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would lower financing costs for drug companies [1][2] - The sector has seen over $2.5 billion in upfront payments for external licensing agreements in the first half of the year, indicating strong ongoing interest and potential for future growth [2] Group 3: Policy Support - Recent updates from the National Healthcare Security Administration regarding the 2025 national medical insurance drug list and commercial insurance innovative drug list show strong support for innovative drugs, including CAR-T therapies and other cancer treatments [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The upcoming global pharmaceutical conferences and the expected release of key clinical data are anticipated to provide further momentum for the innovative drug sector [5] - The potential for continued high levels of external licensing agreements and the expiration of patents for significant drugs by 2030 suggest a robust pipeline for Chinese innovative drugs [2][5]