普华永道：2025年全球矿业报告着眼未来

Industry Overview - The mining industry is a cornerstone of the global economy, increasingly intertwined with human activities. In 2024, the top 40 non-gold mining companies experienced a 3% year-on-year decline in revenue and a 10% drop in EBITDA due to rising costs, leading to a decrease in EBITDA margins. Conversely, gold mining companies saw a 15% increase in revenue and a 32% rise in EBITDA, somewhat masking the performance decline of non-gold mining firms [1][8][11]. Multi-Sector Support and Cross-Industry Opportunities - Mining provides essential mineral support for six core sectors: energy and power, transportation, food, healthcare, construction, and manufacturing. Cross-sector development presents opportunities, such as mining companies investing in zero-emission power production and participating in cross-regional railway projects, enhancing operational efficiency and promoting social welfare [1][21][16]. Concentration Risk and Response Measures - There is a mismatch in the geographical distribution of mineral reserves and production, leading to concentration risks that are susceptible to regional issues. Countries are responding by formulating critical mineral strategies, increasing investments, and ensuring supply security. Companies are investing in processing stages, exploring alternative materials, and innovating technologies, while end-users stabilize supply chains through agreements and investments. For instance, Indonesia has enhanced its position in the global nickel market through export restrictions on nickel ore, promoting processing capacity growth [1][34][25]. Market Dynamics - In 2024, the number and scale of mining transactions declined, with energy transition minerals accounting for a lower proportion of transactions compared to previous years. The industry is witnessing trends such as consolidation (especially in gold and silver), divestment of non-core assets, vertical integration, diversification, technology-driven mergers and acquisitions, and increased government involvement [2][40][43]. 2035 Outlook - The report analyzes seven driving factors impacting the mining industry, including population growth, urbanization, energy transition, and environmental impacts. It is anticipated that population growth and urbanization will increase mineral demand over the next decade, while energy transition will drive demand for critical minerals. Technological advancements will enhance efficiency, and changes in human capital and funding support will reshape the landscape, with government regulation and policy collaboration being crucial [2][51][55]. Conclusion and Appendix - Collaboration across sectors is essential, with mining companies encouraged to cooperate in downstream research and development, infrastructure construction, and talent cultivation. The appendix provides geographical distribution data for reserves and production of various minerals, including copper and lithium, along with information about the report's authors and contact details [2][4][11].