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研报掘金丨华源证券:首予中船防务“买入”评级,新趋势有望带动业绩增长
Ge Long Hui·2025-08-19 07:32

Core Viewpoint - China Shipbuilding Defense focuses on four key areas: marine defense, transportation, development, and scientific research equipment, showcasing strong multi-shipbuilding capabilities and possessing national-level R&D platforms and independent core technologies [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 377 million yuan, benefiting from order optimization and efficiency improvements [1] - In Q1 2025, the company is projected to continue high growth with a net profit of 184 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 1099.85% [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - On the supply side, global capacity expansion is long-term constrained, leading to sustained tight supply in niche markets such as feeder container ships [1] - On the demand side, stricter environmental regulations are accelerating the retirement of older small vessels, and existing orders are insufficient to meet the fleet's green renewal needs [1] - The feeder container shipbuilding market is expected to perform well in the long term due to a combination of supply contraction, environmental regulations, and growth in regional trade [1] Group 3: Business Opportunities - The increasing diversity of maritime conflict forms is likely to create additional growth opportunities for the company's military and public vessel businesses [1] - Given the green shipbuilding cycle and the potential of offshore engineering business, the company is initiating coverage with a "buy" rating [1]