Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-19 07:57Group 1 - The Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) has risen to 2% as of October 18, marking the first increase since early May [1] - The banking system's surplus has decreased from a peak of HKD 177 billion to HKD 53 billion, compared to HKD 44 billion before the liquidity influx [1] - The expectation is that Hong Kong developers' stock prices will experience weakness as HIBOR returns to forecast levels and floating-rate mortgages are repriced to a maximum of 3.5% [1] Group 2 - The overall view on the Hong Kong residential property market remains that it will slowly rebound, with an expectation of flat prices this year and a rebound of 5% and 6% over the next two years [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating for Cheung Kong Holdings (01113) and Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016), while holding a "Sell" rating for Henderson Land Development (00012) and Sino Land Company (00083) [1]