赵伟：海外资金行为“新变化”

Group 1 - In July, the US economy showed resilience, with inflation pressures greater than stagnation, leading to a reversal of the global "rebalancing" trend, with capital flowing back to the US [4][9][8] - The US unemployment rate in July was 4.2%, aligning with market expectations, while the second-quarter GDP rebounded, indicating overall economic strength despite structural weaknesses [4][9][17] - The S&P 500 companies reported earnings and revenues that exceeded market expectations, which boosted market sentiment and attracted foreign capital back to US assets, with foreign investments in US stocks increasing by $11.36 billion [4][17][9] Group 2 - In July, domestic "anti-involution" policies were beneficial, with multiple measures implemented to combat low-price competition, leading to a significant recovery in upstream prices [5][36][41] - The "anti-involution" policies positively impacted the supply side, alleviating cost pressures and improving profit margins, with industrial profits showing a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [5][36][53] - However, demand remained weak, with external demand performing better than internal demand, as evidenced by a 9% year-on-year decline in retail sales in the passenger car market [5][53][54] Group 3 - In August, the focus will be on the labor market trends in the US and the continuation of "anti-involution" policies in China [6][63] - The US labor market showed signs of weakness, with a rising unemployment rate and a contraction in the number of people finding jobs, indicating potential challenges for economic growth [6][63][64] - In China, attention will be on the marginal changes in domestic demand and the effectiveness of "anti-involution" measures on mid- and downstream enterprises [6][7][63]