【环球财经】市场等待杰克逊霍尔会议打破僵局 鲍威尔表态或更为谨慎

Group 1 - Global market sentiment is cautious as investors await signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole annual meeting from August 21 to 23 [1][2] - Economists suggest Powell may adopt a more cautious tone this year compared to last year, where he explicitly mentioned the reasons for potential rate cuts [1][2] - The likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month is over 80%, according to the interest rate futures market [2] Group 2 - Investors are also looking forward to the release of the Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes for additional policy clues [3] - Current inflation levels in the U.S. remain above the established target, with some opinions attributing this to one-time factors rather than a long-term trend [3] - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to have differing views on the possibility of a rate cut in September, with a consensus leaning towards a 25 basis point cut rather than a 50 basis point cut [3]