Ge Long Hui·2025-08-19 18:23Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index recently peaked at 25,700 points but has since declined, with a current support level around 25,000 points, indicating potential downward adjustment risks [1][2] - The distribution of bull and bear certificates shows 69% are bullish and 31% bearish, suggesting a prevailing bullish sentiment despite the recent market pullback [1][3] Investment Products - For investors considering bull certificates, it is advised to select products with a recovery price not too close to the current market price to mitigate risks [1] - Specific products mentioned include: - Bull certificate 65915 with a recovery price of 24,818 points and a leverage of 50-60 times [1] - Bear certificate 65929 with a recovery price of 25,688 points and a leverage of 40 times [2] - Call warrant 18057 with an exercise price of 25,627 points and a leverage of 10 times, expiring in December [1] - Put warrant 19402 with an exercise price of 24,477 points and a leverage of 8 times, expiring in January [1] Individual Stock Analysis - Xiaomi (01810) is experiencing volatility ahead of its earnings announcement, with a current price around 51-52 HKD after a recent drop to 50.1 HKD [5][6] - Investors are favoring call warrants for Xiaomi, such as warrant 17257 with an exercise price of 61 HKD and a leverage of 5 times, expiring in April [5] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) is benefiting from high trading volumes and new IPOs, with a suggested call warrant 17568 at an exercise price of 530.5 HKD and a leverage of 7 times [8][9] Sector Focus - The semiconductor sector is currently in focus, with companies like SMIC (00981) and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) facing price adjustments [12][13] - Investment products for SMIC include call warrant 18978 with an exercise price of 62.88 HKD and a leverage of 3 times, and put warrant 13689 with an exercise price of 42.5 HKD, also with a leverage of 3 times [12] - For Hua Hong, call warrant 19312 with an exercise price of 55 HKD and a leverage of 2 times is available [12] Risk Management - Investors are advised to monitor support and resistance levels closely when selecting products, particularly for high-leverage options [18][19] - The current support level for Xiaomi is around 49.2 HKD, while the resistance level is at 57.5 HKD [6][9]