美国联邦储备或降息，美债美元或先降后升，关注中美映射及结构性机会

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve may lower interest rates, leading to fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar, with a focus on the implications for U.S.-China relations and structural investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - M1 money supply increased to 5.6%, indicating growth in demand deposits from households and businesses, with attention on the sustainability of deposit migration [1] - In the first seven months, the prices of non-ferrous metals rose by 30%, with small metals leading the gains, highlighting strategic commodities such as copper and aluminum [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The overseas market is driven by advancements in GPT-5 technology, while domestic semiconductor testing capacity is easing, suggesting a focus on self-sufficient chip production and liquid cooling technologies [1]