Market Overview - International gold prices fell again on August 19, with an opening price of $3335.57 per ounce, a high of $3345.29, a low of $3320.92, and a closing price of $3322.60 [1] News Analysis - Trump criticized Jerome Powell on social media, claiming that his actions are severely harming the real estate industry and that there are no signs of inflation, suggesting a significant rate cut is necessary [2] - S&P confirmed the U.S. sovereign rating at "AA+/A-1+" with a stable outlook, indicating that while the fiscal deficit may not improve significantly in the coming years, it also will not worsen [2] - S&P projects that U.S. government net debt will exceed 100% of GDP over the next three years, with an average deficit of 6% of GDP from 2025 to 2028, down from 7.5% last year [2] - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 13.9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 86.1% [6] Geopolitical Developments - Trump is arranging a meeting between Putin and Zelensky, emphasizing that the U.S. will assist Ukraine in defense but will not deploy ground troops [4] - Discussions are ongoing about providing Ukraine with security guarantees, although NATO membership is off the table [4] - A potential summit in Budapest involving U.S., Russian, and Ukrainian leaders is being planned, with security concerns regarding the location due to historical context [5] Technical Analysis - Gold prices showed a downward trend, with a significant drop leading to a short-term bottom reversal, and the market is expected to maintain a bearish outlook [9] - The short-term gold price trend indicates a strong downward movement, with the possibility of a correction due to oversold conditions [9]
金荣中国：特朗普关税获标普认可，金价扩大跌幅空头逐步增强
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-20 02:49