Core Viewpoint - The process of selecting the next Federal Reserve Chair is perceived as a performance by officials to pressure the Fed into lowering interest rates, despite claims of an "open" selection process [1][3]. Group 1: Candidate Selection Process - The White House has released a list of 11 potential candidates to succeed Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May next year, which includes both current and former Fed officials, expanding beyond previous rumors of a shortlist of Trump loyalists [1][2]. - The expanded list includes current Fed officials such as Vice Chair Michelle Bowman and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, as well as private sector economists [2]. Group 2: Expert Opinions - Experts express skepticism about the "open process," suggesting that Trump will likely choose someone loyal to him and who agrees with his demand for a rate cut of 150 to 175 basis points [3]. - Analysts believe the list serves as a means for the White House to engage with Fed officials who oppose rate cuts, allowing for a more diplomatic discussion [4]. Group 3: Political Dynamics - The list may encourage candidates to publicly advocate for rate cuts to maintain their candidacy, creating a unified voice that drowns out dissenting opinions [5][6]. - The White House aims to amplify calls for rate cuts through candidates vying for the Fed Chair position, with indications that this strategy is already influencing the interest rate market [6]. Group 4: Future Predictions - The outcome of the selection process remains unpredictable, with no immediate pressure on Trump to announce a candidate, and analysts suggest that the core candidates are still limited [7]. - Names frequently mentioned include Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett, with speculation that Trump prefers an outsider for the Fed Chair position [7][8].
美联储主席遴选流程被指作秀,白宫花式施压降息!
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-08-20 08:18