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招商证券国际:看好网易云音乐(09899)利润率改善趋势 目标价大幅升至330港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-20 09:32

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates a downward revision of revenue forecasts for NetEase Cloud Music (09899) for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026 by 4% to 5% due to expected weakness in the social entertainment business, while core operating profit forecasts are raised by 25% and 23% respectively [1] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Online music service revenue for the first half of the year reached 2.97 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 16%, accounting for 78% of total revenue [1] - Core operating profit increased by 35% to 905 million RMB, exceeding market expectations by 40% [1] - For fiscal years 2025 and 2026, core operating profits are expected to be 1.7 billion and 2.1 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth of 33% and 21% respectively [1] Valuation and Target Price - The target price for NetEase Cloud Music has been significantly raised from 208 HKD to 330 HKD based on the sum-of-the-parts valuation method [1] - The music business is assigned a 30x price-to-earnings ratio for the next 12 months, while the social entertainment business is assigned a 10x price-to-earnings ratio, leading to expected price-to-earnings ratios of 21x and 26x for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 respectively [1] Cash Reserves - As of the end of the reporting period, NetEase Cloud Music had net cash reserves of 12.4 billion RMB [1]