锦浪科技(300763)：25Q2业绩表现优异 储能业务实现显著增长

Performance Review - The company reported a revenue of 3.794 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 602 million yuan, up 70.96% year-on-year [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 549 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 71.8% [1] - In Q2, the company achieved a revenue of 2.276 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.25% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.0% [1] - The net profit for Q2 was 407 million yuan, up 22.75% year-on-year and 109.27% quarter-on-quarter [1] Inverter Revenue Growth - In H1 2025, inverter revenue reached 2.61 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 16.6% [2] - Grid-connected inverter revenue was 1.82 billion yuan, down 11.2% year-on-year, while energy storage inverter revenue surged to 790 million yuan, up 313.5% year-on-year [2] - The significant growth in energy storage inverters was driven by recovering demand in the European market and growth in emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America due to policy support [2] Inverter Profitability Improvement - The overall gross margin for the inverter business in H1 2025 was 27.4%, an increase of 8.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross margin for grid-connected inverters was 26.1%, up 7.6 percentage points year-on-year, while energy storage inverters had a gross margin of 30.3%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The improvement in profitability was attributed to increased R&D investment, a higher proportion of high-value inverter products, an optimized customer structure, and cost reduction strategies [3] Growth in New Energy Power and Generation Systems - New energy power revenue for H1 2025 was 300 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, with a gross margin of 52.8% [4] - Revenue from household photovoltaic generation systems was 810 million yuan, up 4.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 58.0% [4] - The growth was supported by seasonal factors, as Q2 is a peak season for photovoltaic generation, leading to increased production and revenue [4] - The company sold a total of 206.80 MW of distributed photovoltaic power stations and household photovoltaic generation systems, with an average transaction price of approximately 3.10 yuan/W and a profit of about 22.64 million yuan [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 1.23 billion, 1.53 billion, and 1.81 billion yuan respectively [5] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 20.7, 16.7, and 14.1 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [5] - Given the favorable demand in emerging markets and the ongoing inventory reduction in Europe, the inverter business is expected to continue growing, maintaining a "buy" rating [5]