Xuan Gu Bao·2025-08-20 11:42Core Insights - July fiscal data shows significant highlights, with tax revenue growth returning to positive territory and expenditures improving due to increased income [1] - Major tax categories such as corporate income tax, personal income tax, and consumption tax exhibited varying degrees of upward elasticity in July [1] - The improvement in public budget expenditures is directly linked to the recovery in tax revenue, with a focus on social security, employment, and health care [1] Group 1: Public Budget Performance - From January to July, the national general public budget revenue reached 1,358.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, while expenditures totaled 1,607.37 billion yuan, up 3.4% [2] - In July, general public budget revenue increased by 2.7%, marking the highest growth rate of the year, with tax revenue rising by 5.0% [4] - General public budget expenditures improved by 3.0% in July, driven by the increase in revenue, indicating a potential for accelerated spending despite revenue constraints [4] Group 2: Tax Revenue Structure - The second-largest tax category, corporate income tax, saw a growth rate of 6.4%, an increase of 3.6 percentage points [8] - Personal income tax experienced a significant growth of 13.9%, up 7.2 percentage points, attributed to increased cumulative income and stricter tax collection measures [9] - Consumption tax recorded a growth of 5.4%, rebounding by 3.4 percentage points, primarily driven by improvements in sales of tobacco and alcohol [10] Group 3: Government Fund Budget - National government fund budget revenue reached 23.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, while expenditures rose to 54.29 billion yuan, up 31.7% [3] - In July, government fund revenue growth slowed to 8.9%, significantly impacted by declining land transfer income [5] - Land transfer income increased by 7.2%, but the growth rate fell by approximately 15 percentage points, indicating ongoing weakness in the land and real estate market [13] Group 4: Fiscal Expenditure Trends - Fiscal expenditure showed broad support across various sectors, particularly in social security and health care, which grew by 13.1% and 14.2%, respectively [16] - Technology-related expenditures decreased by 30.5%, reflecting a shift in policy direction and a reduction in redundant construction projects [16] - The overall trend indicates a focus on essential social needs rather than unnecessary infrastructure spending [1][16]