资本永不眠：全球 24 小时交易时代的暗战与机遇

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of 24-hour trading mechanisms is reshaping global financial markets, driven by the need for extended trading hours and the competition among exchanges [1][5][7] Group 1: Global Market Developments - Nasdaq plans to launch 24-hour trading for stocks, ETFs, and closed-end funds in the second half of 2026, pending regulatory approval [2] - NYSE has received approval to extend trading hours for its fully electronic exchange, NYSE Arca, to 22 hours each trading day [2] - The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) announced plans for 24-hour trading starting in February 2025, aligning with Nasdaq's initiatives [2] Group 2: Regional Market Responses - The London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) is exploring the feasibility of extending trading hours, considering both technological and regulatory impacts [3] - The Tokyo Stock Exchange has extended its trading hours to 5.5 hours, marking its first adjustment since 1954 [3] - The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7, with platforms like Kraken offering tokenized versions of U.S. stocks for continuous trading [3][4] Group 3: Expansion of Trading Mechanisms - The 24-hour trading model is expanding beyond futures to include stocks and derivatives, creating a comprehensive trading network [4] - Nasdaq and NYSE's plans cover equities, while CBOE's initiative includes derivatives, indicating a broadening of the trading landscape [4] Group 4: Strategic Considerations for Exchanges - Nasdaq's push for 24-hour trading is driven by global client demand, competitive pressures, and technological advancements [5] - Data shows that 63% of non-traditional trading volume in U.S. stocks comes from the Asia-Pacific region, highlighting the need for extended trading hours [5] - The rise of alternative trading systems has increased non-traditional trading volumes, necessitating Nasdaq's response to maintain market share [5] Group 5: Implications for Hong Kong Stock Exchange - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is considering 24-hour trading to enhance its competitiveness and attract international capital [6] - Currently, HKEX operates for only 5.5 hours, which is significantly shorter than other major financial centers [6] - HKEX's trading system is expected to support T+1 settlement by the end of 2025, laying the groundwork for 24-hour trading [6] Group 6: Future Outlook - The implementation of 24-hour trading could enhance market efficiency and attract a broader investor base, particularly younger investors [7] - However, challenges such as potential liquidity issues during off-peak hours and the risk of market manipulation by high-frequency traders must be addressed [7] - The evolution towards 24-hour trading is seen as essential for HKEX to avoid being marginalized in the global market [7]