Group 1 - The U.S. government has expanded the 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to include hundreds of derivative products, with 407 product codes added to the tariff list, effective from August 18 [1] - The expanded tariff primarily targets intermediate and semi-finished products containing steel and aluminum, such as steel billets and metal structural components [1] - As of June 2025, China's aluminum exports to the U.S. are expected to account for only 6% of total aluminum exports, indicating that the tariff policy mainly affects market sentiment rather than actual trade volumes [1] Group 2 - Domestic electrolytic aluminum supply has stabilized, with a production capacity of 44.19 million tons and a utilization rate of 97.2% as of July, indicating strong operational willingness among smelters [2] - The upcoming traditional peak demand season ("Golden September and Silver October") is expected to drive demand growth, particularly in aluminum cable and aluminum foil sectors [2] - China's aluminum market fundamentals are strong, with low inventory pressure and limited downside for aluminum prices, suggesting a potential opportunity for buying on dips [3]
基本面良好 沪铝可关注逢低做多机会
Qi Huo Ri Bao·2025-08-20 23:24