国际金融市场早知道：8月21日

Group 1: Federal Reserve Insights - The July meeting minutes indicate that most officials believe inflation risks outweigh concerns about the labor market, with a consensus that "upward inflation risks are more severe" [2] - The Federal Budget Committee forecasts a federal budget deficit of $22.7 trillion over the next decade, nearly $1 trillion higher than earlier predictions by the Congressional Budget Office [1] Group 2: Central Bank Actions - The New Zealand Reserve Bank lowered its interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.00%, aligning with expectations [3] - The Bank of Indonesia unexpectedly cut its rate by 25 basis points to 5%, marking the fourth rate cut of the year [4] - The Swedish central bank maintained its benchmark interest rate at 2%, consistent with expectations [5] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Eurozone economic growth may slow down this quarter, according to ECB President Lagarde, despite reduced uncertainty from US-EU agreements [2] - The UK's July CPI rose by 3.8% year-on-year, surpassing the previous value of 3.6%, marking the fastest growth since January 2024 [5] - Japan's July exports fell by 2.6% year-on-year, the largest decline since February 2021, with a significant drop in automobile exports by 28.4% [5]