Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a contraction in volume and a significant convergence in implied volatility, indicating potential future trends in market behavior [1] Market Outlook - In a scenario where the market continues to rise, a rapid increase in implied volatility should be monitored to avoid adjustment risks due to a surge in speculative activity [1] - A gradual decline in implied volatility suggests that the pace of market increases may slow down, potentially maintaining the status observed in July [1] Downward Market Scenario - If the market declines and implied volatility rises quickly, it indicates a rapid spread of pessimistic sentiment, suggesting opportunities to speculate on stabilization when the market steadies [1] - A slow decrease in implied volatility during a downturn points to a potential "sluggish decline," warranting careful observation for entry timing [1]
华西证券:行情继续上涨情况下,若隐含波动率缓慢回落,市场上涨速度可能放缓