“台独”是绝路，“跪美”无出路（日月谈）

Group 1 - The Taiwanese government faces a significant increase in tariffs, with a new 20% tariff on top of existing rates, leading to a potentially disastrous "20%+N" tax burden on local industries [1][2] - Key sectors such as textiles, petrochemicals, steel, and machine tools are expected to be severely impacted, with the machine tool industry facing a combined tax rate of 24.7%, exacerbating competitive disadvantages against South Korean and Japanese products [2][3] - The Taiwanese government's response includes a commitment to increase investment in the U.S. by $400 billion, which is equivalent to half of Taiwan's annual GDP, indicating a willingness to spend taxpayer money to appease U.S. demands [2][3] Group 2 - The Taiwanese administration's approach of yielding to U.S. demands has not resulted in favorable outcomes, instead leading to increased pressure and unfavorable treatment compared to other trade partners [1][3] - The lack of transparency in negotiations, with claims of confidentiality, raises concerns about the effectiveness of the talks and the potential negative implications for Taiwan's economy [2] - The ongoing reliance on U.S. support while neglecting to strengthen cross-strait relations may lead to further economic challenges for Taiwan, as the government continues to pursue a confrontational stance against mainland China [3]