CMBC(SH:600016) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-21 01:32Core Viewpoint - The chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, Wen Bin, indicates that recent data shows signs of setbacks in the recovery of the real economy since July, necessitating continued macro policy support [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - Multiple indicators since July show a decline in retail sales growth, ongoing pressure on real estate investment, and a need for increased credit demand [1] - External demand faces uncertainties that have not been fully resolved, suggesting the need for sustained macroeconomic policy support [1] Group 2: Policy Recommendations - The second half of the year will focus on stabilizing credit, promoting domestic demand, and enhancing coordination, with a commitment to maintaining consistent and stable policies [1] - Monetary policy is expected to remain supportive, with structural policies aimed at reducing financing costs for the real economy [1] Group 3: Future Monetary Policy - The effectiveness of personal consumption loans and subsidies for service industry loans is expected to lower financing costs, allowing for more targeted structural policies [1] - The timeline for potential further reductions in reserve requirement ratios (RRR) and interest rates may be delayed, along with adjustments to the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [1]