Workflow
经济学家:预计日本央行最早10月恢复加息
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-21 04:38

Core Viewpoint - A significant majority of economists predict that the Bank of Japan will raise its key interest rate by at least 25 basis points later this year, reflecting a growing consensus on monetary tightening [1] Group 1: Economic Predictions - Nearly two-thirds of economists forecast a rate hike from the Bank of Japan, an increase from over half in the previous survey [1] - 70% of analysts believe that recent weak employment data in the U.S. will not delay the Bank of Japan's moderate tightening policy [1] Group 2: Survey Details - In a survey conducted from August 12 to 19, 67 out of 73 economists (92%) expect the Bank of Japan to maintain its current rate in the September meeting [1] - Among 71 respondents, 63% anticipate a rate increase of at least 25 basis points to 0.75% in the next quarter, up from 54% in the previous month [1] - Of the 40 economists predicting the timing of the next rate hike, 38% selected October as the most likely month, while 30% expect it in January next year and 18% in December this year [1]