Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) exceeded expectations in Q2 performance, primarily driven by higher-than-expected investment income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Core profit, excluding investment income, showed a strong year-on-year growth of approximately 40%, aligning with expectations [1] - The average daily turnover in the cash market nearly doubled year-on-year during the period [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - Following the Q2 performance and recent market turnover trends, Goldman Sachs has raised its earnings per share forecasts for HKEX for 2025, 2026, and 2027 by 3%, 1%, and 2% respectively [1] - The target price for HKEX has been increased from HKD 500 to HKD 509 [1] Group 3: Management Insights - Management indicated that with the decline in HIBOR and the reduction of external investment portfolios due to funding headquarters acquisitions, the outlook for investment income is expected to weaken [1] - Goldman Sachs' forecasts already incorporate these factors, predicting a year-on-year decline in investment income of approximately 17% and 11% for the current and next year, respectively [1] - Despite the anticipated decline in investment income, strong profit growth is expected to continue in the second half of the year [1]
高盛:上调香港交易所盈测 目标价升至509港元