Ge Long Hui·2025-08-21 10:40Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi reported a strong 2Q25 performance with total revenue of 116 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.2%, alongside an adjusted net profit growth of 75.4% to 10.8 billion RMB [1] Group 1: Automotive Business - In 2Q25, automotive deliveries reached a record high of 81,302 units, with revenue increasing by 14% quarter-on-quarter to 20.6 billion RMB [2] - The gross margin for smart electric vehicles and AI-related innovations rose from 15.4% in the same period last year to 26.4%, driven by scale effects, reduced core component costs, and a higher proportion of high-end model deliveries [2] - The company anticipates that the automotive business may achieve profitability in a single quarter or month in the second half of the year, supported by its high-end strategy [2] Group 2: Smartphone and IoT/Internet Business - The smartphone business faced challenges with revenue declining by 2.1% year-on-year to 45.5 billion RMB, and gross margin contracting to 11.5% due to intense competition in overseas markets [3] - IoT business revenue grew by 44.7% year-on-year to 38.7 billion RMB, driven by high-value smart home appliances, which saw a 66.2% increase [3] - Internet services continued stable growth with a 10.1% year-on-year revenue increase to 9.1 billion RMB, maintaining a high gross margin of 75.4% [3] Group 3: Financial Forecast and Valuation - Due to weak global smartphone demand, revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 were lowered by 2.2%/0.5%/0.2%, while net profit forecasts were raised by 9.5%/4.3%/7.8% to 44.31 billion RMB, 52.63 billion RMB, and 67.12 billion RMB respectively [3] - The target price is set at 65.4 HKD based on SOTP valuation, corresponding to a 30x PE for 2026, reflecting an adjustment from the previous target of 67.8 HKD [3]