Ge Long Hui·2025-08-21 10:39Core Insights - China Resources Beer reported a 0.8% year-on-year increase in revenue for 1H25, reaching 23.94 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 22.8% to 5.79 billion yuan [1] - The beer business saw a revenue increase of 2.5% year-on-year, driven by a 2.2% increase in sales volume and a 0.4% increase in price per ton [1] - The white liquor business experienced a significant revenue decline of 33.7% year-on-year, primarily due to industry adjustments and policy impacts on consumption scenarios [2] Beer Business Performance - The beer segment's gross margin improved by 2.5 percentage points to 48.3%, benefiting from product structure optimization and lower raw material costs [1] - The core EBIT for the beer business increased by 14.0% year-on-year, with the core EBIT margin rising by 3.1 percentage points [1] - High-end products like Heineken maintained strong growth, with sales of mid-to-high-end products also increasing, contributing to a more robust growth outlook [2] White Liquor Business Performance - The white liquor segment's EBITDA and EBIT saw declines of 47.2% and a shift to loss, respectively, due to reduced revenue scale impacting fixed cost absorption [2] - Despite the decline, the white liquor business accounted for only 3.3% of total company revenue, limiting its overall impact on the company's performance [2] Financial Forecast and Investment Outlook - The company revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 down slightly, now expecting total revenues of 38.82 billion, 39.86 billion, and 40.96 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 0.5%, 2.7%, and 2.8% respectively [2] - Net profit forecasts for the same period were raised to 5.90 billion, 5.96 billion, and 6.41 billion yuan, indicating year-on-year growth of 24.4%, 1.0%, and 7.6% respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 14 for 2025, suggesting that the company is undervalued compared to other leading beer companies [2]