Vatee外汇：GBP USD 技术分析——聚焦美联储主席鲍威尔

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that GBP/USD has been declining this week as traders adopt defensive positions ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting [1] - The US dollar has strengthened due to market expectations of a hawkish stance from Powell, leading to a tense market environment [3] - The recent data does not support a pre-commitment to rate cuts in September, as initial jobless claims continue to improve and inflation data rises [3] Group 2 - The UK central bank's last meeting was hawkish, and recent data, including CPI, has exceeded expectations, indicating economic resilience and ongoing inflation pressure [3] - Despite a weak labor market, the central bank remains focused on inflation, aiming to return to a 2% target, with core inflation remaining above 3% since 2021 [3] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that GBP/USD faced rejection at the key level of 1.3590 and may continue to decline towards 1.3368, where buyers might set risk entry points for a rebound [6] - The 4-hour chart shows a slight downtrend, suggesting sellers may continue to exert pressure, while buyers aim for a breakout to the upside [7] Group 4 - Upcoming catalysts include the release of the latest US initial jobless claims data and PMI figures, with a focus on Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium [8]