Workflow
每日投行/机构观点梳理(2025-08-21)
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-08-21 11:10

Group 1: Currency and Interest Rate Outlook - Goldman Sachs expects that a weaker dollar will drive strong performance in emerging market currency carry trades, with a positive outlook for the Indian Rupee, Brazilian Real, South African Rand, and Hungarian Forint as carry trade longs [1] - Barclays economists note a slowdown in UK core services inflation, suggesting a potential for a rate cut by the Bank of England in November [2] - Macro analysts from Capital Economics highlight that U.S. short-term interest rates face upward risks, indicating that the market may be overestimating the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts [3] Group 2: Economic and Market Trends - Societe Generale analysts predict a gradual weakening of the British Pound due to a bleak fiscal outlook, with expectations of higher taxes and slower economic growth [3] - Societe Generale also indicates that the implied volatility of the Euro against the Dollar may soon rebound due to upcoming events that could lead to greater exchange rate fluctuations [4] - China International Capital Corporation forecasts that the global AI liquid cooling market will reach $8.6 billion by 2026, driven by increasing computational demands and the advantages of liquid cooling technology [5] Group 3: Commodity and Investment Insights - Huatai Securities anticipates a cyclical upward opportunity for cobalt prices between 2025 and 2027, driven by an improving supply-demand balance [6] - Huatai Securities reports that A-share market activity remains high, with significant contributions expected from foreign and insurance capital in the future [6] - CITIC Securities believes that leading brands in the ready-to-drink beverage sector, which possess product innovation and offline traffic capabilities, are likely to navigate through economic cycles successfully [7]